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Today's outlook for S&P & Dow Jones futures


S&P failed to break our resistance at 1070 although we did not fall back very much.

So the 1070 / 1075 region will be key again today. There is now a short term double top in place and with the overbought indicators there should be a pullback from these highs. Only if we make a sustained break above 1077 will sellers reverse their shorts to join buyers for a leg up with 1104.40 as the next targeted area.

Yesterday's range was fairly narrow but support at 1053 to 1049 could be tested today and sellers should cover to here and join buyers once more so a bounce is possible. However they will not hold if below 1049 breaks as 1043 to 1038 would then be the short term objective.

http://www.charmercharts.com 

Dow failed at resistance of 9797 creating a rare triple top. Conditions are now in place for a short term move lower.

First major support to watch for today is 9649 where buyers could appear to produce a bounce but they will not hold if 9640 breaks, so be careful of this. If it does break then 9609 will be the first port of call.

Below here sees a deeper move lower with 9573/65 then targeted. Only a sustained break above 9797 resistance can lead us higher to target 9857/59, which are the highs of the continuation charts just left by the outgoing Sept contract. Here the contract will come under pressure and it is only a clear sweep above 9875 on a close basis that would negate further weakness.


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About the author


With a career spanning almost 30 years, Carol Harmer is undoubtedly one of the most respected and established technical analysts in the UK and is a founding member of the STA (The Society of Technical Analysts).

Carol’s career started in the early eighties, trading futures on the floor at LIFFE where she quickly discovered Technical Analysis as a way to maximise profits. She was one of the first traders on LIFFE to discover and study this form of analysis and quickly became widely recognised as an expert in its use as well as highly profitable. 

This soon led to a position as Senior Technical Analyst for Midland Bank. She was later head hunted for the role of Manager of Technical Analysis for Nomura Bank and then as Head of Technical Trading at Credit Suisse.


In 1996 Carol launched 'Charmer Charts' to train independent traders in technical analysis and became the first person to provide daily forecasts for the established traders on the LIFFE floor.

 

She returned to the floor, trading her own account, advising traders throughout the day and continued her appearances on Bloomberg, CNBC and Reuters financial TV where she provided her valued, expert opinion on the direction of financial markets.

Carol has now established herself as an advisor and trader at a private hedge fund, whilst offering guidance and reliable information by way of her daily Technical Analysis reports to traders and financial institutions world-wide. Her 30 years of studying technical analysis ensures she is one of the most experienced in this field in the world today.  

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